Why Nikkei 225 (JP225) rose 2.31%

Nikkei 225 (JP225) rose 2.31% on August 13, 2026 — July PPI below forecast eases rate hike bets.

What happened

Japan's July producer price index came in at 7.2% year-over-year, slightly cooler than the expected 7.4%, signaling moderating but still-elevated inflation.

Why it moved

Sticky PPI above 7% keeps the Bank of Japan's tightening bias alive without signaling imminent aggressive rate hikes, allowing equity investors to price in earnings growth from the regional manufacturing surge without…

Why it matters

Japan (Yen & Equities) theme hinges on BOJ policy expectations anchoring the yen and equity valuations; a PPI print that sits high enough to keep tightening on the table but low enough to avoid aggressive hikes…

What would break the thesis

If the next PPI print falls sharply, the BOJ could signal a longer pause, weakening the rate-support thesis; conversely, a surprise jump could force market repricing of rate-hike timing.

Sources

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